Methodology

How the Airdrop Calculator Works

A transparent look at the formulas, assumptions, and limitations behind every output. Every formula is shown with a worked example.

How to use the calculator

Open the calculator and enter five key numbers: your points, total protocol points, total token supply, the airdrop allocation percentage, and your FDV estimate. Results appear instantly. Switch to Advanced mode to model vesting, costs, multipliers, and scenario FDVs.

What your points share means

Your share of the total protocol points is the foundation of every output. It is calculated as:

Your Points ÷ Total Protocol Points

This percentage, multiplied by the airdrop pool, gives your estimated token allocation.

Example 25,000 ÷ 10,000,000 = 0.25% share. Applied to a 75M token pool = 187,500 tokens estimated.

How token value is estimated from FDV

FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) is the most important number you enter. It is the hypothetical market cap if all tokens were already circulating.

Token price = FDV ÷ total supply

Because this number is unknown before launch, the calculator lets you model three scenarios: bear (conservative), base (your estimate), and bull (optimistic).

Example FDV $850M ÷ 1,000,000,000 supply = $0.85 per token. If FDV is $425M instead, the token is worth $0.425 — half the value.

How TGE unlock and vesting affect value

TGE unlock is the percentage of your allocation you can sell on launch day. A 20% TGE unlock means 80% is locked and released gradually. A cliff is an initial waiting period — zero tokens release during the cliff. After the cliff, linear vesting begins.

Example 168,750 tokens, 20% TGE unlock, 3-month cliff, 12-month vesting: 33,750 tokens on day 1 — then zero for 3 months — then ~15,000/month for 9 months.

How farming costs and ROI change the result

Gas fees and protocol costs come out of your net return. The break-even price tells you the minimum launch price needed to recover those costs.

Break-even price = total costs ÷ token allocation

Net ROI is expressed as a multiple: if you spent $50 and your allocation is worth $500, your ROI is 10x.

Example $50 gas on 168,750 tokens = break-even at $0.0003/token. At a $0.85 launch, you are 2,800x above break-even on gas alone.

Why results are estimates, not guarantees

This calculator cannot know the actual FDV at launch, whether the protocol will change eligibility rules, whether your points will be reduced by anti-sybil filtering, or how market conditions will affect price during your vesting period. The bear/base/bull scenarios are tools for thinking about a range of outcomes — not a forecast. Treat results as a planning input, not a financial prediction.

Key Terms

FDV
Fully Diluted Valuation. Market cap if all tokens were circulating at launch price.
TGE
Token Generation Event. The moment a token is officially created and distributed.
Cliff
An initial lock-up period during which no vested tokens are released.
Vesting
The gradual release of locked tokens over a defined time period after TGE.
Airdrop pool
Total supply × airdrop allocation %. The total tokens available to distribute.
Break-even price
The minimum token price at which your farming costs are fully recovered.
Sybil dilution
A reduction applied to your allocation to model the risk of anti-sybil filtering or over-farming.
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